Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew
The Road to Riches: Weekend 4th-5th July
- Football, the Copa America final between hosts Chile and Argentina and Women's World Cup Final between the USA and Japan.
- Tennis, The middle weekend of Wimbledon.
- Formula One, the British Grand Prix at Silverstone.
This weekend sees the 2015 British Grand Prix at Silverstone, one of the fastest tracks on the circuit. The Mercedes drivers Hamilton and Rosberg are in a real battle for the Drivers Championship
Mercedes have won seven out of the eight races so far this season, following on from winning 16 races after the introduction of new regulations at the beginning of 2014. Only Ferrari, apart from Mercedes, have won a race in 2015 and that in very hot conditions in Malaysia which gave then a tyre advantage over Mercedes.
Mercedes started the year with a time advantage of a full second a lap and whilst Ferrari (with the help of engine token upgrades) have cut that deficit by around a third over the first part of this season it is still difficult to see past a Mercedes pole position (Hamilton has been on pole seven out of eight races this season), double front row lock out and ultimate win at Silverstone which is one of the fastest tracks on the circuit and will really suit the Mercedes power unit. Since 2010, 51% of all race wins have been scored by the man on pole, and 79% of all race wins from 1st or 2nd n the grid. This season, every race has been won from either first or second.
Out of eight races both Mercedes drivers have been on the podium every time, so that has only left eight places on the podium and Ferrari have taken six of those, with Vettel taking five of the six. In the last two Grand Prix though Williams have begun to challenge Ferrari more consistently. Poor qualifying by Vettel and a spin by Raikkonen in Canada allowed Williams' Valtteri Bottas to capitalise, and then Felipe Massa held off Vettel for third in Austria.
Simply, the front end of the F1 grid in 2015 is not that competitive. Prices for the outright win at Silverstone are Hamilton 4/6 Rosberg 7/4 and 16/1 bar including Vettel. After Mercedes and Ferrrari in the pecking order the three other Mercedes powered teams (Williams, Force India and Lotus) have an advantage on high speed tracks compared to Red Bull (power deficit with the Renault engine), McLaren (Honda severely under-powered), Sauber (improved in 2015 but under-funded) and Manor (uncompetitive) and whilst the new configuration of Silverstone mixes in some slower sections it is still a quick circuit on the F1 calendar. Daniel Ricciardo has even this week called on Red Bull and Renault to write off 2015 and focus on 2016. The battle in midfield between the Mercedes-powered teams though is a good close one.
Over the last few races Force India has been the most consistent midfield team improving their average qualifying position over the first four races from 13th to 9th over the last four races, and both cars scored points for the first time this year in Austria to move ahead of Lotus into fifth place in the Constructors Championship. Now they have an upgraded car for the rest of the season their results should improve still further. They suffered delays with the development of the B-Spec upgraded car following a switch of wind tunnels over the winter and missed much of pre-season testing. Nevertheless they have been adding parts for its B-spec package since Monaco, with the final evaluation of the package-taking place in Austria.
Prices for points finishes at Silverstone are Hulkenberg 4/6 and Perez Evens. I like the Perez price for the top ten a lot.
We're looking for slightly more bang for our buck in the free tips in this column though and Hulkenberg is 100/30 to repeat his top six finish at Spielberg. In 2014, Hulkenberg qualified fourth on the grid and came home eighth here. To achieve top six this weekend there will have to be some modest attrition in finishers from the top three teams and the Force Indias will need to win their battle with the Lotuses and potentially the Toro Rosso for whom their aerodynamic package suits Silverstone and will help them overcome some of the power deficit. Generally though this season Lotus have flattered to deceive in races, their points finishes not reflecting their overall package. Force India have overachieved and now have the full upgrades as they look to take the next step up the grid.
6 points Nico Hulkenberg top six finish at 100-30 Bet365 or BetVictor, 3-1 generally
Bankroll Management
There's an assumption that all that's required to be a successful sports bettor is the ability to pick winners with a degree of frequency. It's of course true that you will win money if you only ever pick winners, but the reality is that no-one can accurately predict the outcome of sports events all of the time. Even the very best lose a good percentage of their bets, and most will experience bad runs.
The risk of a bad run is a major reason why bankroll management is important. It should be a consideration even if you are just betting for fun, while it's absolutely vital if you're serious about betting for profit. The basic concept of bankroll management is straightforward, that you allocate a certain sum of money to bet with, separate from any other money you have. This sum of money is your bankroll, and should be used solely for the purposes of betting at any given time you should have a fixed bankroll in place.
Once you establish the size of the bankroll you can then manage that money appropriately. Bankroll management is effectively about defining and following rules about what percentage of your bankroll you are prepared to risk for any wager you place. There's no single correct way to define these rules, as that depends on a number of factors. The point is just that the amount you stake should always be directly influenced by the size of your bankroll in some way.
There are four key reasons why good bankroll management is essential for your sports betting success. These are as follows:
- It will help you to remain disciplined.
- It will stop you from going bust.
- It will enable you to manage your exposure to risk.
- It will help you to determine your true success rate.
Remaining disciplined gives you a big advantage in sports betting. There have been countless bettors throughout time who have been very good at picking winners, but failed to find consistent success due to a lack of discipline. As discussed recently common mistakes caused by a lack of discipline include chasing losses during bad runs, staking too much, and taking unnecessary risks.
Good bankroll management won't necessarily stop you from making these mistakes yourself, but it will certainly make it easier to avoid them. With a defined set of rules in place about how much you can bet and when, you are much less likely to do something crazy. You should also be able to avoid going bust, as you'll only ever be betting a percentage of your total bankroll.
You can also manage your bankroll in a way that will be familiar to regular readers of Betting Emporium columns with staking plans, risking smaller amounts of money on more speculative bets, and larger amounts on wagers that are more likely to win. This is a great way to manage your exposure to risk, which is important regardless of your overall betting style.
Bankroll management helps you to determine your true success rate because keeping your stake levels consistent means you can accurately analyse how well you are doing. If you are betting all kinds of different amounts on a random basis, then this is much harder to do, as your results can be skewed by one big win or one big loss.
The best piece of advice regarding bankroll management is simply to make sure you use it. There's not one particularly right way to go about it, it's just important that you do think about it. With that being said, there are a couple of basic principles that you should try to stick to.
For one thing, your bankroll should only consist of money you are prepared to lose. If you're betting with "scared" money that you can't afford to lose, you'll almost certainly make bad decisions. This is really the main point of having a bankroll in the first place, and you should think of your bankroll as a tool with which to make money rather than as money itself.
You should also very clearly define the rules about how much you're going to stake on any given wager, and then make absolutely sure that you follow them. The exact rules are ultimately up to you, you just need to consider what level of risk you are comfortable with and what goals you are trying to achieve. A good guideline is that you should always stake somewhere between 1% and 5% of your total bankroll on a single wager.
Wimbledon 29th June-12th July 2015
All tennis that we have covered since our launch in Feb 2013 shows a +9.96% ROI and a £1158 profit at £10 a point (up to 28th May 2015)
If you had bet £10 a point on all the 5 Grand Slams that Nigel Seeley has covered for Betting Emporium you would be winning £2971.30 with an ROI +18.79%
French Open Tennis subscribers betting £10 a point won £1810 with an ROI of +43%
Match betting on the French Open 2015 alone showed a profit of over 71points and a +ROI 19.27%
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Wimbledon ( 29th June - 12th July 2015)
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The Ashes
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The Road to Riches: Weekend 27th-28th June
Coming Up this weekend
- Football, the Copa America and Women's World Cup Quarter finals
For Northants top bowler in recent games the "death bowler" Mohammed Azarullah has come to form and leads the overseas pro Rory Kleinveldt in wicket-taking. Azharullah has 9 wickets in 6 games, Kleinveldt 7 in 7. Willey is back of course and will be expected to take the new ball.
For Notts their top batsman so far in the competition is Samit Patel with 233 runs off 178 balls in 7 games with 4 scores of 30 or above. Batting from as high as number 4 that he has had the opportunity to face 178 balls speaks to the poor batting form of the team up top (for example James Taylor, Brendan Taylor and Steven Mullaney have little more than 100 runs each in seven games). Meanwhile in 4 games Alex Hales has 148 runs off 94 balls. Hales is the obvious pick here, because if he gets in he'll generally go on. His four scores in the competition this season are 1, 54, 86*, 7. His presence though as short as 9/4 does create some value elsewhere if the likes of Willey and Kleinveldt can get him early. Patel, as long as 6-1 in a top order short of runs is an appealing value alternative.
In terms of Notts top bowler the experienced seamer Luke Fletcher is a T20 specialist (best yorkers in the game) and has 9 wickets in 7 games. The remainder of the bowling attack, Jake Ball with 7 wickets and the spin of Samit Patel with a useful 5 wickets aside, has underperformed.
So summing up, my shortlist here across the markets on offer is as follows
Northants outright at 13/8 Ladbrokes
Richard Levi Top Northants batsman at 11/4 Ladbrokes
Azarullah Top Northants Bowler at 3/1 Coral
Samit Patel Top Notts Batsman at 6/1 Ladbrokes or Corals
Luke Fletcher Top Notts Bowler at 100/30 Corals
I think all of these look reasonable at the prices if you wanted a range of positions. The one bet for this column though is as below, taking on a short-priced favourite in Hales that offers bags of talent but priced at little value:
5 points Samit Patel Top Nottinghamshire batsman 6/1 Ladbrokes or Corals
(wouldn't take lower than 5/1)
Moore's the Merrier?
Last week at Royal Ascot Ryan Moore rode nine winners (Gleneagles, Clondaw Warrior,Washington DC, Acapulco,Gm Hopkins,Waterloo Bridge,Curvy,War Envoy,Aloft) and could have had more. He beat the mark set by Lester Piggott in 1965 and 1975 and Pat Eddery in 1989. Moore remains some way behind Fred Archer's all-time record of 12 wins which he achieved at Royal Ascot in 1878. These are rare achievements though. Six winners was enough to be top jockey for the whole meeting in 24 of the last 25 years
Understandably given his excellence, plaudits were many "Ryan was superb he's a marvellous jockey, the greatest I've ever seen" said winning trainer Aidan O'Brien. Another trainer "Ryan Moore - what can I say? He's probably the greatest jockey I've ever seen." and a commentator "Slowly but surely, Moore and O'Brien are getting like Vincent O'Brien and Piggott in the old days."
Of course purely as sports fans, Moore is brilliant to watch. The best jockey, and often on the best horses accentuated this season by his official arrangement with Ballydoyle. For the bettor though, it represents a challenge as prices often have a "Moore discount" removing value, and notionally at least creating it elsewhere in the field. Time after time at Ascot, particularly earlier in the week in the day's later races, the odds on Moore horses would plunge in part of course because "momentum" punters on course were attracted to what they were seeing and in part the firms taking avoiding action with potential liabilities on multiples etc
As Neil described in one of his Royal Ascot pieces (specifically about Dashing Star who had gone from 9/1 to 6/1 that morning )"While I love having him on my horses, I don't want to pay a big premium for that." Other punters appeared to be far less disciplined, of course and until Saturday at least, this was rewarded as daily doubles and trebles flew in.
It's a long term game though. Ryan Moore is the best jockey often on the best horses but the weight of money and increasingly artificial pricing that results is going to be a feature of future big meetings because of the experience of this Royal Ascot just as it was for Dettori after Fujiyama Crest completed the Ascot 7-timer. Therein might lie the opportunity elsewhere
With Neil's help I investigated some stats* to attempt to find corroboration for the contention that a great jockey does not necessarily equal great betting value
Moore has 48 winners from 230 rides in 2015. That is 21%, one of the highest of the top 40 jockeys. On favourites he is 29-89 for 29% (only seven of the top 40 are lower). If you had bet every one of his horses at SP for £1 you'd be down £3.69. Just as a (less fashionable) comparison George Baker with 25-107 is a jockey who is much more under the radar ( currently +£40.53 in 2015 on a reasonable sample.) and who is consistently well rated by jockey ratings services.
The only real way to measure jockeys is to looks at A/E (actual/expected), that is to measure the prices (%chance) of their rides against result and to see who gets 'more winners than expected' (an enhanced impact value type stat which can also be used instead of the ROI stat.). Moore's A/E value stat is just above average at 0.89 but it is low so you certainly have to carry on being selective if trying to find value bets from his rides.
Going back through 2011-2014 the figures are as follows
Win percentage and Profit/(Loss) to a £1 stake
2011 18% (-143)
2012 18% (-56)
2013 19% (-113)
2014 20% (-132)
2015 21% (-3)
So we can tentatively suggest that a bumper Royal Ascot and the Ballydoyle rides are increasing win percentage and reducing losses to a level stake so far in 2015 but we can better making the case that Moore horses might be priced without value than we are to suggesting that backing him blind, even with a 1 in 5 win rate, is a route to guaranteed profit.
* as at 22nd June (sources: Racing Post and FlatStats)
Wimbledon 29th June-12th July 2015
** outright preview due TOMORROW Saturday 27th June **
All tennis that we have covered since our launch in Feb 2013 shows a +9.96% ROI and a £1158 profit at £10 a point (up to 28th May 2015)
If you had bet £10 a point on all the 5 Grand Slams that Nigel Seeley has covered for Betting Emporium you would be winning £2971.30 with an ROI +18.79%
French Open Tennis subscribers betting £10 a point won £1810 with an ROI of +43%
Match betting on the French Open 2015 alone showed a profit of over 71points and a +ROI 19.27%
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Wimbledon ( 29th June - 12th July 2015)
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Tennis Accumulator Bonus - Get from a 5% bonus up to a 50% bonus on tennis doubles and accumulators!
bet365's fantastic Tennis accumulator offer includes matches from all the top tournaments and events. You can earn a bonus of up to 50% if you place accumulators on To Win Match, First Set Winner and Set Betting markets for Singles and Doubles matches from any Grand Slam, ATP, WTA or Challenger Tour event, as well as Singles and Doubles matches from the Davis Cup, Fed Cup and Hopman Cup. Place a pre-match accumulator with bet365 of 2 or more selections combining matches from any of these competitions and, if successful, the relevant bonus will be added to your winnings.
The bonus will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, the bonus will be calculated based on the remaining active stake and the maximum bonus that you can receive is £100,000 or currency equivalent. Combination bets with bonuses such as Lucky 15’s or Lucky 31’s do not apply for this offer. T&Cs apply.
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The Road to Riches: Weekend 20th-21st June
One of the major things that sets successful bettors apart from others is their ability to maintain discipline and control their emotions.
Here are some of the emotions that can get in the way of making good betting decisions.
Fear.
There are two effective ways to avoid the fear of losing money. The first is simply to make sure that you only ever bet with money that you can afford to lose, and are fully prepared to lose. This is one of the main reasons for having a proper bankroll. By allocating a sum of money that's purely for betting purposes, you don't have to worry about losing money that you need for something else.
Secondly, you should try and ignore the monetary value of your bankroll. If you view your bankroll as a tool of the trade, you'll remove your emotional attachment to it. If you then also practice good bankroll management, you'll have no reason to fear even a string of losses.
Impatience
An important part of betting is knowing when to bet. Online especially it's very easy to bet in high volume. Placing a lot of bets can potentially bring some success, with an appropriate strategy, but it's generally much better to be selective and only bet when there's a very good reason to do so.
Many bettors suffer with impatience. The urge to place a bet, even if there's no real reason to do so, can be overwhelming. This can lead to placing speculative bets that aren't properly thought out.
Dealing with impatience can be a challenge. Before you place a bet, ask yourself why you are placing it. If you can't provide a solid answer, it's probably not a wager you should be placing.
Desperation and Greed
Most, if not all, sports bettors will have a particularly bad run of results at some point, and many will have a particularly good run of results. Sustained periods of losing can be very emotionally damaging, for obvious reasons, but sustained periods of winning can actually be just as bad.
A long streak of losses can easily lead to desperation. Desperation, in turn, can lead to betting at higher and higher stakes in an attempt to chase those losses. Chasing losses can be so tempting to try and recover some of the money that has been lost
A long streak of wins, on the other hand, can lead to greed. It's easy to feel like you can do nothing wrong when you are winning all the time, and the urge to try and win more can be overwhelming. Just like desperation, greed can also lead to betting at higher stakes..
Controlling your emotions in either of these circumstances largely comes down to discipline.
Confidence
It's not easy to develop winning betting strategies and it can be hard to stick with something that isn't generating an immediate return though, which is why confidence is so important in betting, helping to avoid second guessing every decision you make.
Getting the right balance of confidence is difficult. You have to be able to deal with a few losses without losing faith in yourself, but you equally have to be prepared to accept that you are capable of making mistakes.
Passion
Sports bettors are also of course sports fans, and this can present a problem. There's a lot of emotion involved in being a sports fan, particularly if you are passionate about a particular team or individual. This passion is part of what makes being a sports fan so much fun, but it's not so good when it comes to sports betting.
If you are an optimist, you may be tempted to bet on your team winning simply because you want them to, even if their chances aren't that great. If you are a pessimist, you might bet against your team, because you can't believe your team will get the victory you hope for. You may even decide to bet against your team so that you are happy either way
The point here is that you are making bets for the wrong reasons, which is always a mistake. It's very, very difficult to take the emotion out of things when betting on a sports event you really care about so it's best to simply avoid doing so. You'll surely find plenty of betting opportunities on events that you have no emotional involvement with.
Strong discipline will help you deal with all the potential problems that the emotions discussed above can cause.
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Royal Ascot - Saturday 20th June 2015
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Wimbledon 29th June-12th July 2015
All tennis that we have covered since our launch in Feb 2013 shows a +9.96% ROI and a £1158 profit at £10 a point (up to 28th May 2015)
If you had bet £10 a point on all the 5 Grand Slams that Nigel Seeley has covered for Betting Emporium you would be winning £2971.30 with an ROI +18.79%
French Open Tennis subscribers betting £10 a point won £1810 with an ROI of +43%
Match betting on the French Open 2015 alone showed a profit of over 71points and a +ROI 19.27%
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Wimbledon ( 29th June - 12th July 2015)
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New Customers get up to £200 BONUS - Open your Bet365 Account HERE
bet365's fantastic Tennis accumulator offer includes matches from all the top tournaments and events. You can earn a bonus of up to 50% if you place accumulators on To Win Match, First Set Winner and Set Betting markets for Singles and Doubles matches from any Grand Slam, ATP, WTA or Challenger Tour event, as well as Singles and Doubles matches from the Davis Cup, Fed Cup and Hopman Cup. Place a pre-match accumulator with bet365 of 2 or more selections combining matches from any of these competitions and, if successful, the relevant bonus will be added to your winnings.
The bonus will not apply where a stake has been fully Cashed Out. Where a stake has been partially Cashed Out, the bonus will be calculated based on the remaining active stake and the maximum bonus that you can receive is £100,000 or currency equivalent. Combination bets with bonuses such as Lucky 15’s or Lucky 31’s do not apply for this offer.
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The Road to Riches: Weekend 13th-14th June
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Royal Ascot (Full Package) 16th - 20th June 2015
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Bet365 Channel 4/1 Offer – Back any winner on Channel 4 and get a FREE risk free bet to the same stake (Max £50) on the next race. If your risk free bet wins at 4/1 or more you qualify for another....Bet365 also have great promotions and enhanced place terms during the festival that you just can not afford to miss out on as well as best price guarantees– CLAIM NOW
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Wimbledon 29th June-12th July 2015
All tennis that we have covered since our launch in Feb 2013 shows a +9.96% ROI and a £1158 profit at £10 a point (up to 28th May 2015)
If you had bet £10 a point on all the 5 Grand Slams that Nigel Seeley has covered for Betting Emporium you would be winning £2971.30 with an ROI +18.79%
French Open Tennis subscribers betting £10 a point won £1810 with an ROI of +43%
Match betting on the French Open 2015 alone showed a profit of over 71points and a +ROI 19.27%
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Wimbledon ( 29th June - 12th July 2015)
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The Road to Riches: Weekend 6th-7th June
- Football, the UEFA Champions League Final, Juventus v Barcelona in Berlin on Saturday. International friendlies including Republic of Ireland v England on Sunday
- Formula One, the Canadian Grand Prix in Montreal
- Racing, The Derby at Epsom the highlight of a programme including flat meetings at Doncaster, Lingfield and Musselburgh and over the jumps at Uttoxeter and Hexham
- Tennis, the final weekend of the French Open
- Golf, USPGA Tour: The Memorial Tournament at Muirfield Village GC in Ohio and European Tour: Nordea Masters, PGA Sweden National in Malmo
Free Tip of the Week :
After a big strategic error from Mercedes denied Lewis Hamilton a pole to flag victory in Monaco a fortnight ago, the general expectation is that he will bounce back and win this weekend in Montreal at the Canadian Grand Prix, and the best price on him doing so is 4/6. He has a superb record in the race, and only once has a team-mate out-qualified him in eight starts. The high speed, low downforce circuit is tailor-made to suit Hamilton’s driving style.
I wonder if there may be value opposing him this weekend though. Last year both Mercedes cars hit problems in Canada with Energy Recovery System ( ERS) failures. Hamilton had to retire after the knock-on loss of engine braking caused the rear discs to overheat. Abu Dhabi apart, where Rosberg had ERS failure in the final last race of last season, the Mercedes cars have been extremely reliable since.
However delve a little further and there are signs that Mercedes is having to push to keep a rejuvenated Ferrai behind. In Bahrain this year, both Hamilton and Rosberg suffered brake problems after Mercedes opted for better aerodynamic performance and pace over cooling capability. Also, brake temperatures remained a concern for Mercedes in Monaco according to Hamilton’s race radio.
In Canada, Mercedes could once more have the performance advantage to sacrifice a little pace to prevent a recurrence of brake issues. This is a race though that, more than most, tends to produce a surprise or two and heavy brake wear ( on a track mainly comprising long straights and chicanes ) tends to be a factor.
Ahead of this weekend’s race Ferrari and Honda have become the first manufacturers to carry out in-season development work on their engines. Having already made major progress since 2014, substantially closing the deficit to Mercedes, Ferrari have spent three tokens (of ten available for 2015) ahead of this race.. That in theory should allow them to put more pressure on Mercedes. It is crucial that Ferrari are close to Mercedes in Montreal to force the world champions to push hard in the race, rather than being able to control the pace and temperatures from the front.
As Mercedes tech boss Paddy Lowe said on Tuesday: "It will be interesting to see whether and how the 'balance of power' is shifted this weekend", specifically referring to how much closer the new Ferrari power unit might bring them to the Mercedes cars. The gap in qualifying has been around 7/10ths of a second recently and there should be around 3/10ths in the power unit upgrade. The gap in races has been less with Ferrari impressive on race pace and tyre wear.
For Canada, racing on the least durable tyres in the Pirelli range (soft and super-soft), we can expect Ferrari to mount a serious challenge to Mercedes in race conditions. Their superior tyre management across a full race distance may again help keep Mercedes in check, and if they do Mercedes will have to risk brake problems by being unable to compromise aerodynamics for cooling.
This combination of a track that is hardest in the area of greatest Mercedes vulnerability and the Ferrari engine upgrade makes Sebastian Vettel an interesting each-way play here. Each way terms are 1/3 the odds for a top two finish and Vettel is 8/1+ in a market with both Mercedes drivers in at 4/6 and 15/8. Of course it's still hard to look past Lewis Hamilton on any Grand Prix weekend, and a Mercedes 1-2 would not surprise but the conditions for some each-way value on Vettel are here.
3 points each way Sebastian Vettel Canadian Grand Prix at 17/2 William Hill (1/3 1, 2) or 8/1 Bet365, Sportingbet, Skybet, BetfairSportsbook
(timezones mean that prices will be down for much of friday evening until after free practice two. Qualifying is 6pm Saturday UK time, the race 6pm Snday UK time)
After England and New Zealand drew the two test series ended 1-1, next week sees a five match ODI series with games as follows:
9th June Edgbaston
12th June, The Oval
14th June, Southampton
17th June Trent Bridge
20th June Chester-Le-Street
On Paper there is a big disparity between the two sides. New Zealand were world cup runners up in February whilst England exited in the group stages. New Zealand also have had a huge advantage in mindset in ODIs, and we saw signs in the recent test series that their aggressive approach, scoring consistently at 5 runs an over, has not changed. In the Headingley test first innings scoring 350 in 70 overs, where most test sides would take 100 overs plus for that score, created 30-50 extra overs in the game for them to bowl which proved vital with the loss of play due to weather and allowed them to force a win. In the series six Kiwi batsmen had strike-rates of 60+, compared to just two for England. Essentially they were playing one-day cricket over the five day format. New Zealand are a brave side. Under the captaincy of Brendon McCullum they only play one way and their approach in the ODIs will be the same.
New Zealand are an ODI team in their prime. Looking at ODI performances in 2015 only amongst the squad we have:
Guptill 786 runs in 18 innings at 49
Williamson 641 runs in 15 innings at 49
McCullum 608 runs in 17 innings at 35
Taylor 554 runs in 17 innings at 42
Anderson 441 in 15 innings at 34
In the bowling ranks
Boult 30 wickets in 15 games at 20
Anderson 25 wickets in 16 games at 21
Southee 24 wickets in n13 games at 28
All play in the upcoming series, supplemented by the likes of specialists Elliott and Ronchi.
All this is in contrast to England’s squad. Major players are rested, with one eye on a very crowded schedule and upcoming ashes, including Anderson, Broad, Bell and Moeen Ali. In its favour the squad is full of talent. Supplementing the experience of Morgan, Buttler, Root and Finn are some of the most explosive players around the county scene. Hales, Roy, Billings, Willey are all match-winners and point (finally) to England adopting a more modern approach to the ODI game
It is a huge task to ask a young team to overcome New Zealand here though. The probability of questionable weather shortening games gives them a chance of course but the advantage in such home conditions is likely to be negated by the skill of Boult and Southee with the swinging ball.
All this helps explain why New Zealand are a prohibitive 1/2 to win a five game series.
Coverage of the Investec Derby and Oaks
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Investec Derby and Oaks 2015
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Royal Ascot 16th-20th June 2015
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Royal Ascot (Full Package) 16th - 20th June 2015 |
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May 2015 pts bet 1468 profit 202.29 ROI +13.78%
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